| The trend in the numbers of homes for sale is | | | | prices. In the month of August prices were |
| continuing to increase across the country. | | | | down 2.2% from August of 2005. This was the |
| Housing inventories are clearly rising. The | | | | third straight month of year over month price |
| more houses for sale, the more downward | | | | declines. According to DataQuick, August of |
| pressure there will be on home sales. | | | | 2006 was the slowest month for home sales in |
| | | | San Diego since August of 1997. In August of |
| A study by ZipRealty has found that housing | | | | 2005 the median price of homes in San Diego |
| inventory has increased in 18 major markets | | | | was $493,000. In August of 2006 the median |
| across the US. This data is based on condos | | | | price of homes in San Diego dropped to |
| and single family homes. | | | | $482000. |
| | | | |
| Look for the markets with the largest | | | | The home prices in San Diego county peaked in |
| increase in inventory and you will find the | | | | November of 2005 at $518000. With more homes |
| markets that will have the least support for | | | | coming onto the market the downward trend in |
| current prices. The place that experienced | | | | prices is expected to continue. According to |
| the largest increase in inventory in August | | | | DataQuick the prices will not head into a |
| was Orlando. In Orlando housing inventory for | | | | freefall. It appears for the near future that |
| sale increased by 8%. Also in Florida Miami | | | | prices will slowly continue to deflate. |
| also experienced a large increase in homes | | | | |
| fore sale. In Miami the increase was 5.6%. | | | | This projection is based on the strong |
| Florida as a whole has experienced a large | | | | economy of San Diego County. In this strong |
| jump in homes for sale. | | | | economy housing prices will slowly deflate |
| | | | and then flatten. As long as the economy |
| On the west coast the city that has the | | | | remains strong (there are no signs of |
| highest increase in in homes for sale is | | | | weakening now) home prices will not go into a |
| Seattle which has experienced an increase of | | | | freefall. |
| 6.1%. Next is San Francisco with a housing | | | | |
| inventory increase of 5.6%. | | | | The condo market in San Diego may not fare as |
| | | | well as the single family home market. In the |
| Another indicator to watch is the percentage | | | | condo market there has been a large amount of |
| of homes whose prices have been reduced in a | | | | speculation. The most dramatic price drop is |
| fixed time period. In the last ten days 44% | | | | in downtown condo housing. In August of 2005 |
| of the homes for sale in Boston have had | | | | the median price of a condo in downtown San |
| their prices reduced. Sacramento is close | | | | Diego was $654000. In August of 2006 the |
| behind Boston with 43.6% of its homes for | | | | median price of a condo had dropped to |
| sale having their prices reduced in the last | | | | $495000. This trend may be emerging in other |
| ten days. | | | | areas of the country that have had over |
| | | | building or over conversion in the condo |
| Of the 18 metropolitan areas included in the | | | | market. Areas in Florida and Las Vegas have |
| study (all of which had homes reduce their | | | | experienced an oversupply of condos. |
| prices in the last ten days on the market), | | | | |
| Dallas was at the low end with 27.4% of | | | | One trend that is emerging in San Diego is |
| homes on the market reducing their prices. In | | | | the unwillingness of many sellers to accept |
| San Diego 28.8% of homes on the market have | | | | the lower prices offered for their homes. |
| dropped their prices in the last ten days. | | | | Expectations are still not in line with the |
| | | | market. While homeowners are holding out for |
| In southern California San Diego is the | | | | higher prices, the market continues to |
| leading county to watch for trends in home | | | | decline and home values fall even further. |