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Part Six of the Drought of US Droughts; June 2002

Historical and Recent Past Period Drought that pile up each winter, in the
Data is very valuable to predicting un-seasonal winter rainfalls that drench
future trends and cycles. By doing this the mountains instead of snow, and in the
we can prepare for crisis by building speed of the snowmelt during spring.
adequate water resources and monitoring Total precipitation over California
our fresh water supplies. It is important hasn't changed significantly on average
to understand all the regional dynamics over the years, but seasonal variations
in order to make good non-linear between rain and snow show that a
decisions to insure our civilization has significant warming trend is under way.
what it needs. This data is from 2002.If But the population increase has, for
you think the US is having problems look instance look at the LA suburbs,
at Mexico although they are getting some Sacramento, Central Valley of Silicon
good and needed rain this week in the Valley Refugees, San Diego and San
interior of the country, it has been Gabriel Valley, lots of lawns to water
quite a problem. This Hurricane season and mow. Even in the desert cities more
has been lighter than anytime in the last homes, golf courses and lawns, with the
100 years and is not delivering the rain increasing middle class, which is not
it could. As the El Nino cuts of the paying attention to where stuff like
amount of space that the hurricanes can water really comes from. The annual
operate in, it may create a few larger surveys of mountain snow depths and water
systems where tropical depressions levels of California's major rivers show
combine. The earth's supply of freshwater that before the 1960s runoff in the late
for use by humans and natural ecosystems spring and early summer amounted to a
seems to be shrinking by the year. good 40 percent of the total runoff each
One-third of the world's population is year.Since the mid-1970s in LA, San
living in "water stressed" regions in the Diego, Sacramento and the Bay Area,
World. As human population continues to runoff during the late spring and early
grow, so does the demand for more water. summer has dropped to barely 30 percent
It is estimated that by the year 2025 of the annual total, he said. Tracking
nearly one-half of the population will be California's changing climate record for
living in "water stressed" regions or many years. We are finding data that adds
countries.The NASA Satellite which sends to powerful evidence that the warming
information on river basins around the trend is real. However there maybe other
world using sophisticated computer models explanations as well. Some which may be
and geographical information systems is unbelievable. The problem of managing the
locating the areas that are most state's water resources more rationally
stressed. Among the most stressed are in view of the changing climate is urgent
China's Yellow River basin, Africa's now. We need detailed studies to decide
Zambeze River basin, the Syr Darya and what to do. Studies are a lot cheaper
Amu Darya River basins leading to than floods. However I doubt anyone can
Russia's Aral Sea and the Colorado River disagree with the thought of weather
basin. These are amongst the first control research to solve the water
serious problems. This research is also problem for people. Officials of the
being used by the World Water Commission; California Department of Water Resources
a government and privately funded are starting to look at the effects of
organization; goal to seek global climate change as they develop the 2003
solutions to water problems. They of California Water Plan that state law
course are using this data to change requires the department to produce every
policy and over exaggerate much of the five years. As I traveled last month from
problems, however at the current rates we Reno NV to CA Sacramento are I looked at
will see significant and unfixable the Sierra summit and there's no snow
problems in these regions without control pack at all up there, while the major
of the actual weather. We must look reservoirs downstream are full, places
towards using the technology we have to like Folsom Lake, the warming trend
control the weather and make it rain problem is just beginning, but it's
every Monday and Thursday night. Water certainly focusing the water authorities
managers are recognizing that our nations attention.The warming trend poses at
water supply must be treated cautiously. least three increasing dangers: -- Severe
With a growing population, erratic dry lowland flooding as rains in the winter
spells, and widespread pollution of our replace mountain snowfalls; -- Rising sea
aquatic environment, water consumption levels that reach into the Sacramento-San
must be watched. The big problem is that Joaquin River Delta and threaten
people still see water as basically free century-old levees that must protect the
and totally unlimited, which if you look rich croplands; -- The intrusion of salt
at the Earth it would appear that way into Delta waterways that disturbs both
judging by the size of the oceans.Things fisheries and the natural delta ecology
are being done to reserve our supply, in on which farmlands depend. The Department
the US we certainly take for granted the of Water Resources hedges against these
fresh water supply. Some communities are changes by developing a two-year state
using surplus water and gray water to water plan. I have read this and find it
replenish underground reservoirs like in full of farm subsidies and bad data and
Tucson AZ, where water naturally guess by experts similar to the crisis
accumulates but is at lower than normal management team brought in for Y2K, which
levels. Scientists are looking at new never happened, although these are real,
technologies to maximize such stores. right now issues we need to look at the
Other ideas range from setting up past for answers more than trying to
commercial markets for water rights to predict the new future trends. The last
forming huge snow piles. Although these such document in 1998 included forecasts
ideas are great locally, and it provides for the state's water supply and demand
local awareness it will do little good. over the coming 20 years, and provided
And there are a couple of Canadian recommendations for dam building, flood
companies that use small ships to go and control, water management and
capture floating icebergs for fresh conservation measures. Now, the
water. California water planners face a department of water planning is gearing
problem they never thought they'd up to draft the plan for 2003. The City
encounter: global warming is hitting the of Los Angeles water planning dept and
High Sierra snow pack. And just how the other and other experts will offer the
planners cope with it could affect every department's 60-member advisory committee
city-dweller, every farmer and every the latest evidence that the warming
water-using industry in the state for problem could grow steadily worse.The
years to come and every car wash. Water Department has a 60-member advisory
Scientists are in broad agreement that committee made up of "stakeholders" --
the world's climate is steadily warming the people most affected by water
and even President Bush and his staff policies like agricultural water
have conceded that we should be looking districts, urban water departments, food
at these issues with more scrutiny-- processing industries and public
whether due to "greenhouse gas" emissions utilities. All provide input for the
from industry and automobilesor to state's water planners. The committee
natural variability. is evidence that it meets every two months or so for the next
is already altering the annual ebb and two years until the final plan is
flow of the California state's water released. future will be all about
supplies, of course realizing that liars sustainability and we must watch that
figure and figures lie. It's a matter of this term is not misused in the future
"more rain, less snow," and this is El for political gain or Liberal Political
Nino which will fill up CA reservoirs gain, which will upset the balance. Wash
when they do not need the water and the guys realize the need to understand the
snow pack that comes and fills things up water supply and where and why it is
in the Spring will not come, then La Nina needed. We have been through droughts in
comes and we have another drought in CA, the past and will in the future. Some
it is not going to help us. This happened people ask where did the Indians go who
in 1984 too. California's water supply inhabited they villages and cities and
largely depends on the winter snow pack temple and structures of the past? I
in the high mountains that must feed the believe they went in search of greener
state's lowlands the rest of the year. A pastures and water. The problem of
major change is already evident in the tomorrow is distribution flow.
decreasing depths of the mountain snows




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